Risk Analysis Experts

The risk and uncertainty analyses performed by Long International’s experts and consultants involve the preparation of sophisticated cost and schedule models which, with the client’s input, forecast ranges and probabilities of outcomes to better define the uncertainties of claim values or project completion dates. Instead of preparing a static cost spreadsheet or schedule model which provides one result, or a group of models with contrasting results, Monte Carlo simulations allow the user to define variable cost and date ranges and distributions, and perform thousands of trials within a given model. The user can then assess the probability of events occurring, such as meeting a budget or a completion date, or the probability of a Contractor prevailing on various components of its claimed damages. In addition, this method allows one to isolate and adjust the most sensitive variables in any cost or schedule model, and then take necessary actions that address the most sensitive variables. Long International utilizes Crystal Ball, Primavera Risk Analysis (Pertmaster), and other software to assist Owners, Contractors, and Insurers to better manage their risks.

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Richard J. Long, P.E., Chief Executive Officer
Andrew Avalon, P.E., P.S.P., President
Steven J. Bieniewicz, Senior Principal
Hal E. Buddemeyer, Senior Principal
Robert J. Lane, Senior Principal
Rod C. Carter, CCE, PSP, Principal
Curtis W. Foster, Principal
Michael Harris, Principal
Douglas A. Kage, P.E., Principal
Philip R. Moncrief, P.E., Principal
Ronald J. Rider, Principal
Dr. Dan Patterson, PMP
     Project Schedule Risk Analysis Partner
Bruce E. Hallock, CFCC, PSP, Senior Executive Consultant
Stephen P. Warhoe, P.E., CCM, CCE, CFCC
     Senior Executive Consultant
Darron P. Jacobs, MRICS, FCIArb, Executive Consultant
Christopher J. Sable, Executive Consultant